Lazio vs. Torino
April 16, 2022 2:45 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -125
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Lazio and Torino are clashing at Stadio Olimpico in round 33 of the Italian Serie A. Lazio are scoring a lot of goals this season, and that has gotten them a lot of points, but their defense has also cost them a lot of points this season. Torino is a solid defensive team, especially at home, but on the road, they are below average team.
Lazio has lost only 1 of their last 5 games, and that was in a derby against Roma a few weeks ago. In their last 2 games, Lazio has scored 6 goals, conceded only 2 goals, and they have won both of those games. Only Inter is better at scoring goals than Lazio this season, but 64 scored goals is a fantastic accomplishment for Lazio. Immobile has been in excellent form for Lazio with 24 scored goals, but not so much for the Italian national team. Milinkovic-Savic has added 9 goals and 8 assists. Lazio is now in 6th place, and they will be fighting for the Europa League spot with Roma until the end of the season, but the schedule is not easy for Lazio, and with their defense, they can’t really count on any points beforehand.
Torino has been struggling, a lot, but they are now undefeated in their last 2 games while tying with Milan in their last game in Serie A. Torino has a lot of draws this season, 9 to exact, but they have also lost too many games for them to expect something better than 11 places this season. Offensively, Torino is not doing much, with only 35 scored goals, but their defense has been pretty good with 30 conceded goals in 31 games. As far as their schedule goals, Torino has a few games they could definitely win, but they also have a few games that will make them sweat. Brekalo is the leading goalscorer for Torino with 6 goals, while Belotti and Sanabria have added 5 goals each. Overall, I think Torino could have done better, they certainly have the quality to do so, but they are a work in progress, their defense has improve immensely, and they will get even better next season.
When playing at home, Lazio hasn’t lost to Torino in their last 3 games. At the moment, it’s very hard to take the under in Lazio’s games, and with Torino’s defense on the road, I don’t dare take it here. We are getting the over at a nice plus money, and I know the bookies are not expecting it, but I am.