SC Freiburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
November 21, 2021 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 -125, Under 2.5 +100
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SC Freiburg is welcoming Eintracht Frankfurt to Europa-Park-Stadion in round 12 of the German Bundesliga. Freiburg is still going strong despite that loss to Bayern, and they are still very close to the top of the table in Bundesliga. Eintracht is struggling a lot, especially in the attacking end, and they are not even a shadow of the team they were last season.
Freiburg is in 3rd place with 22 points in Bundesliga right now, and they have been the best defensive team so far with only 9 conceded goals. Offensively, Freiburg is not a joke, and they have scored a solid 18 goals. Grifo, Holer, and Jeong are the leading goalscorers for Freiburg with 3 goals each, and they are all ready to play. Sallai, Petersen, Schmid, and Ezekwem are all injured. Freiburg was playing against Bayern Munich on the road in their last Bundesliga game, and they have had only 37% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 70% of the correct passes. Despite being the huge underdog, Freiburg has created a few decent chances, and they have even scored a goal in the 93rd minute, but it was too late for them because Bayern was already leading 2-0 up to that point. The final result was 2-1 in favor of Bayern. This was the first loss of the season for Freiburg, but it doesn’t mean their form will now suddenly drop, and they will certainly do everything to bounce back with a win.
Going from one of the best offensive teams to being one of the worst offensive teams in the league this season is a huge leap, but that is exactly what Eintracht has done. Eintracht has scored only 12 goals so far this season, while they conceded 16 goals, and they are in low 14th place with only 12 points. The good news is Eintracht hasn’t lost any of their last 3 games. Kostic, Hauge, and Borre are the leading goalscorers for Eintracht with 2 goals each. In their last game against Furth on the road, Eintracht was decent with 46% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and 70% of the correct passes. After getting ahead in the 75th minute, Eintracht conceded a goal in the 92nd minute, but luckily for them, they scored a winner in the 94th minute. The final result was 1-2. Eintracht is also playing in the Europa League where they are at the top of their group, they will be advancing to the next stage, and they are playing much better than they do in Bundesliga.
For some reason, we are getting plus money on Freiburg at home, and I will take it a step further. Freiburg is the better team here, in better form, and they are playing consistently better on both ends. I’m taking Freiburg.