Spain vs. Argentina
July 28, 2021 7:00 am EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +100, Under 2.5 -125
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Spain and Argentina are facing off at Saitama Stadium 2002 in round 3 of Group C in the Olympics 2021 soccer tournament. Spain was the favorite of this group, and they are at the top with 4 points. Argentina has lost their first game, but with a win in their second game, they gave themselves a chance to advance to the knockouts.
Spain is one of the biggest favorites to win this tournament, and with players like Olmo, Pedri, Asensio, and Oyarzabal in the lineup, it’s understandable why. Despite all of their dominance in both games, Spain has scored only 1 goal so far in this tournament, and it was enough for a win against Australia. Spain was the better team with 73% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 1 hit post, and 87% of the correct passes. It took a long, long time for Spain to break the Australian vault, and they did it in the 80th minute. Spain has won this game 0-1. With only 1 goal to his name, Oyarzabal is the only goalscorer for Spain, while Asensio added an assist. Ceballos got hurt really bad in the first game, and it’s still unknown if he will be ready for this match. With a win here, Spain will secure their spot in the next stage, but even a draw will be enough to get through.
Argentina has had a terrible game against Australia in round 1, but they have shown up against Egypt in round 2. Argentina has had a much better game, and they have had 53% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 9 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and a decent 79% of the correct passes. Argentina needed the win here, and they got it with a goal in the 52nd minute. This was the first goal of the tournament for Argentina, and it was scored by Medina. In some cases, a draw might be enough for Argentina, but they would be safe with a win. Defensively, Argentina could do better, but they have conceded 2 goals in the first game while keeping the clean sheet in round 2. There aren’t any known players in this team, but that doesn’t mean there is no talent.
I expect another dominant performance from Spain here, and I think they will create a ton of chances, but I just don’t see them scoring a lot of goals. Spain has been struggling with finishing its chances, and that doesn’t just go away. We are getting Spain at a great price, and I will take it.