Casper Ruud vs Joao Sousa 5/21/22 Geneva Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Joao Sousa and Casper Ruud meet in the final of the 2022 tennis Geneva Open.

Joao Sousa is coming off a straight set win over Richard Gasquet that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Sousa won 82 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Sousa won 73 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 10 break points. Sousa got 65 percent of his first serves in play and saved all four break points. Sousa has won all eight sets this tournament and has won five of his last six matches overall. Sousa looks to win his second title of the year and his fifth title of his career. Sousa is 4-7 in career final appearances and 1-4 in final appearances on clay. Sousa has won five of his last six matches on clay court.

Casper Ruud is coming off a straight set win over Reilly Opelka that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Ruud won 89 percent of his first serve points and 72 percent of his second serve points. Ruud won 84 percent of his total service points and converted on one of his one break points. Ruud got 72 percent of his first serves in play and didn’t face a single break point. Ruud has won all six sets this tournament and 12 of his last 14 sets overall. Nine of Ruud’s last 11 victories have been decided in straight sets. Ruud looks to win his second title of the year and his eighth title of his career. Ruud is 7-3 in career final appearances and 6-2 in final matches on clay. Ruud has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.

Ruud has won both meetings against Sousa, both coming in 2019. The most recent meeting was the 2019 Brasil Open, a meeting decided in straight sets. The other match was the 2019 Rio Open, a meeting decided in three sets.

This should be a fun final, but we can’t ignore Ruud’s success against Sousa, both matches on clay. Ruud is also on a serving tear at the moment, and he’s very tough on this service when he’s hitting his spots like this. Sousa also has a spotty record in finals, while Ruud usually takes care of business in these sorts of matches, especially on clay where he does his best work. Everything is pointing to Ruud winning the title here. Give me Ruud, and I’ll likely take him in straight sets to shave down any possible juice.