Jessica Pegula vs Camila Giorgi
August 11, 2022 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Camila Giorgi / Jessica Pegula
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Jessica Pegula and Camila Giorgi meet in the third round of the 2022 tennis National Bank Open.
Jessica Pegula is coming off a straight set win over Asia Muhammad that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Pegula won 77 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Pegula won 64 percent of his total service points and converted on 5 of his 15 break points. Pegula got 53 percent of her first serves in play and saved 1 of her 3 break points. Pegula has seen 9 of her last 13 victories be decided in straight sets. Pegula looks to win at least 2 matches for the fifth time in her last 6 tournaments. Pegula has won 6 of her last 8 matches on hard court.
Camila Giorgi is coming off a straight set win over Elise Mertens that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Giorgi won 58 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Giorgi won 59 percent of his total service points and converted on 5 of his 6 break points. Giorgi got 59 percent of her first serves in play and was broken 3 times. Each of Giorgi’s last 5 victories have been decided in straight sets. Giorgi looks to win 3 straight matches for the first time since Eastbourne. Giorgi has 3 victories this year over a top-10 player. Giorgi has lost 5 of her last 7 matches on hard court.
Pegula has won 4 of the 5 meetings against Giorgi, which includes a win this year in Madrid. Giorgi’s lone win over Pegula came in 2021 Montreal. Three of the 5 meetings were decided in straight sets.
Giorgi beat Pegula in this tournament last year, so there’s some confidence there. However, Giorgi has been hit or miss for much of this year, and her serve was shaky in her last effort. Pegula has won 4 of the 5 meetings against Giorgi, and she’s playing easily the best tennis of her life this year. I’m not eager to step in front of Pegula when she’s playing matches she should win.
Give me Pegula to make the quarters.