Richard Gasquet vs Dominic Thiem
September 20, 2022 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Richard Gasquet -125 / Dominic Thiem +100
(Click here for latest betting odds)
Richard Gasquet will meet Dominic Thiem in the First Round of the 2022 Moselle Open in Metz, France. The match will be played on Tuesday September 22nd, 2022.
An exciting clash awaits tennis fans as veterans Richard Gasquet and Dominic Thiem do battle for a spot in the Second Round. Both players have had their struggles recently, with Thiem’s being very much publicized, but he has shown some signs of life recently. Can he get the win here and end this difficult season on a positive note?
Dominic Thiem’s struggles as he returned from a major injury have been well documented, and it has been tough to watch the former Grand Slam champion endure such a rough patch. However, he recently has shown some signs of getting back to his best, and as his confidence builds I expect his game to continue to improve. Despite a First Round loss at the US Open he had done very well in the tournaments leading up to that, and just last week reached the Final of a Challenger in Rennes where he lost to Ugo Humgert 6-0, 6-3. While that loss was comprehensive, he will still have taken a lot of confidence from that week and he will need it here as he faces a familiar foe in Richard Gasquet. Thiem has the edge in just about every major tennis category, but his confidence is not what it used to be, and he has to be considered the underdog here.
Richard Gasquet is unseeded here at the Moselle Open and is ranked 85th on the ATP Tour, almost a full 100 spaces above his opponent Dominic Thiem who sits at #182. Despite that, Gasquet will know that Thiem is a formidable opponent, and if he plays well on the day can easily win this match. There are many factors going here in Gasquet’s favor – he has done well recently, reaching the Third Round at both Wimbledon and the US Open, he won his Davis Cup matches last week and most importantly he leads the head to head against Thiem. While he has been by no means consistent, he is still the more reliable at the two and since he is playing at home, it is easy to see why many are backing him.
I am going to do the opposite of what the rankings suggest and back Dominic Thiem here, although this match might best be left avoided. Gasquet has been fairly reliable recently, but I cannot ignore the sheer upside and power of Thiem, who has played well in recent weeks. It almost certainly is a matter of him regaining his confidence before we see him back close to the top of the rankings, and I think he will build on his recent results here. He can overpower Gasquet if his shots are falling, and I expect that they will. Back Thiem to win here, moving on to the Second Round at the Moselle Open.