Shelby Rogers vs Maria Sakkari 8/4/22 San Jose Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Maria Sakkari and Shelby Rogers meet in the second round of the 2022 tennis Silicon Valley Classic.

Maria Sakkari will play her first match since losing in the third round of Wimbledon, so she’s had a little over a month of rest. In the big upset loss to Tatjana Maria, Sakkari had 6 double faults, 29 unforced errors and produced just 1 break on 7 chances. Sakkari has produced a combined 56 unforced errors in her last 2 matches, something she obviously needs to clean up if she’s going to have success in this tournament. Sakkari has lost her opening match 3 times since Miami. Sakkari has won 7 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Shelby Rogers is coming off a straight set win over Bianca Andreescu that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Rogers won 76 percent of her first serve points and 68 percent of her second serve points. Rogers won 74 percent of her total service points and converted on 3 of her 8 break points. Rogers got 64 percent of her first serves in play and saved all 3 of her break points. Rogers looks to win back-to-back matches for the first time since making the semifinal in Hertogenbosch. Rogers has 6 career wins over top-10 players and 2 of those wins have come this year. Rogers has won 5 of her last 7 matches on hard court.

Rogers has won both matches against Sakkari, including the most recent match this year in Adelaide. The other match was in 2021 Wimbledon.

Sakkari is going to be the favorite for obvious reasons, but there’s value with Rogers in the underdog role. Not only has Rogers won both meetings against Sakkari, but the Greek hasn’t played in over a month. Also, Rogers has had success this year against quality players, and she’ll have the American crowd behind her, which doesn’t hurt. 

Give me Rogers for the upset.