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Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal Prediction 5-27-24 Picks

Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal
May 27, 2024 9:00 am EDT
The Line: Alexander Zverev -400 / Rafael Nadal +300
(Get latest betting odds)

Alexander Zverev and Rafael Nadal meet Monday in the 2024 French Open tennis second first. Here’s a Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal Prediction.

Alexander Zverev Betting Preview

Alexander Zverev has positioned himself as one of the favorites to win the French Open, as he’s fresh off an Italian Open title. Zverev has won 8 of his last 9 matches overall, and 7 of those wins were decided in straight sets. Zverev has been serving out of his mind during this winning stretch and is going to be a tough out if that continues. Zverev has made the semifinals of the French Open in each of the last 3 years. Zverev and his 78 percent winning percentage at Roland-Garros is his best of any grand slam. Zverev hasn’t lost in the first round of a grand slam since 2019 Wimbledon. Zverev has won 6 straight matches on clay court.

Rafael Nadal Betting Preview

Rafael Nadal is coming off a second round exit in Rome, where he lost to Hubert Hurkacz in 16 games. Nadal has battled injuries over the last year and there are questions about how much longer he’s going to play. However, Nadal did mention he was feeling good health wise in Italy, so it will be interesting to see if that’s still the case. Of course, we know what Nadal is capable of when he’s right, especially on clay. Nadal is a 14-time winner of the French Open, and he has a 97 percent winning percentage at this tournament overall. Nadal has never lost in the first round of the French Open. Nadal hasn’t lost in the first round of a grand slam since the 2016 Australian Open. Nadal has won 5 of his last 8 matches on clay court.

Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal H2H

Nadal has won 7 of the 10 matches against Zverev, which includes a win in the 2022 French Open, which Zverev retired before a second set tiebreak. Zverev’s last win over Nadal came in 2021 Madrid. Five of the matches came on clay, and Nadal has won 4 of those matches. Six of the completed matches were decided in straight sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal Prediction

Zverev should be favored, as he’s playing better tennis right now. Zverev is serving out of his mind and is fresh off arguably the biggest tittle of his career. It feels like Zverev is finally starting to take that next step. Nadal hasn’t had consistent reps this year, he hasn’t proven himself lately against top tier players, and his serve has been spotty. This isn’t Nadal of old.

With all that said, it’s Nadal and the French Open, and I don’t care what he looks like. We’re getting three times our money with Nadal at Roland-Garros. Maybe it’s my heart making this pick, but I’ll still take a shot with Nadal at this price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Rafael Nadal +300

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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