Alison Riske vs Caroline Garcia 9/4/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Caroline Garcia and Alison Riske meet in the fourth round of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Caroline Garcia is coming off a straight set win over Bianca Vanessa Andreescu that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Garcia won 69 percent of her first serve points and 45 percent of her second serve points. Garcia won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 10 break points. Garcia got 55 percent of her first serves in play and hit 8 aces. Garcia has won 11 straight matches if you include qualifying for Cincinnati. Garcia looks to make her second career grand slam quarterfinal and first since the 2017 French Open. Garcia is 1-5 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Garcia has won 11 straight matches on hard court.

Alison Riske is coming off a 3 sets win over Xiyu Wang that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Riske won 59 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Riske won 57 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 10 break points. Riske got 68 percent of her first serves in play and saved 5 of her 10 break points. Riske has now won 5 straight matches that have gone the distance. Riske looks to make her second career grand slam quarterfinal and first since the 2019 Wimbledon. Riske is 1-2 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Riske has won 6 of her last 8 matches on hard court.

Riske has won all 3 meetings against Garcia, including the most recent match this year in Nottingham. All 3 matches were decided in straight sets.

Garcia is going to be favored because of this run she’s on, but the truth is neither of these players have had much grand slam success, so this line is a bit strange. Also, let’s not ignore Riske beating Garcia three times and every match being decided in straight sets. Of course, Riske will have help from the home crowd as well.

Call me crazy, but I’ll take a shot with Riske in the underdog role.