Holger Rune vs Andrey Rublev
April 16, 2023 8:30 am EDT
The Line: Andrey Rublev +150 / Holger Rune -189
(Get latest betting odds)
Holger Rune and Andrey Rublev meet in the final of the 2023 tennis Monte-Carlo Masters. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Holger Rune is coming off a 3 sets win over Jannik Sinner that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Rune won 68 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Rune won 63 percent of his total service points and converted on 3 of his 14 break points. Rune hit 4 aces and saved 4 of his 7 break points. It was Rune’s first 3 set match since his opening match in Acapulco. Rune looks to win his first title since last year’s Paris Masters and his fourth title overall. This would be Rune’s second career Masters 1000 title. Rune is 3-2 in final appearances for his career and 1-0 in final trips on clay court. Rune has won 7 of his last 9 matches on clay court.
Andrey Rublev is coming off a 3 sets win over Taylor Fritz that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Rublev won 65 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Rublev won 58 percent of his total service points and converted on 8 of his 21 break points. Rublev hit 2 aces and saved 3 of his 8 break points. Rublev has now won 3 straight matches that have gone the distance. Rublev looks to win his first title since last year’s Gijon Open and his 13th title of his career. Rublev is 12-6 in career final trips, 3-2 in finals on clay and 0-2 in Masters 1000 finals. Rublev has split his last 8 matches on clay court.
The previous 2 meetings were split as Rublev won this year in the Australian Open in 5 sets and Rune won 2022 Paris in straight sets. This will obviously be the first meeting on clay court.
You can make a case for either guy here as they’re both playing well and the 2 matches between them were competitive. Rune is getting the benefit of the doubt from oddsmakers, and he’s proven he can win on this stage, but Rublev and the plus money is attractive. It’s only a matter of time before a player as talented as Rublev wins a title in a key tournament, he just beat a red-hot Fritz, and he won the most recent meeting against Rune. Toss up final.
Give me Rublev to finally get over the hump.
