Ekaterina Alexandrova and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the fourth round of the 2023 tennis Wimbledon. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Ekaterina Alexandrova Betting Preview

Ekaterina Alexandrova is coming off a straight set win over Dalma Galfi that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Alexandrova won 80 percent of her first serve points and 80 percent of her second serve points. Alexandrova won 80 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 5 break points. Alexandrova got 63 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Alexandrova has now won 10 of her last 11 matches, and 8 of those victories were decided in straight sets. Alexandrova looks to make her first ever grand slam quarterfinal. Alexandrova has 11 career wins over top-10 players, and 2 of those wins came this year. Alexandrova has won 8 of her last 9 matches on grass court.

Aryna Sabalenka Betting Preview

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight set win over Anna Blinkova that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 65 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 9 break points. Sabalenka got 63 percent of her first serves in play and hit 9 aces. Sabalenka remains one of the hottest players on tour, with wins in 18 of her last 22 matches. Sabalenka looks to make her sixth career grand slam quarterfinal and second at Wimbledon. Sabalenka is 5-3 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Sabalenka has won 7 of her last 10 matches on grass court. 

H2H History

Alexandrova has won 3 of the 5 meetings against Sabalenka, including the most recent match in 2022 Hertogenbosch, the only meeting on grass. Sabalenka’s last win was 2019 St. Petersburg. All 5 matches were decided in straight sets.

Randy’s Pick

Alexandrova is playing fabulous tennis entering this match and will have a mental edge, knowing she’s beaten Sabalenka in 3 of the past 5 meetings. However, as I’ve been saying all year, Sabalenka is just different this year than the past versions we’ve seen. She does a better job of staying focused and no longer has those mental lapses where she just unravels. With 3 titles this year and 5 final appearances, you can count on one hand the players you’d pick to beat Sabalenka. I’m not sure Alexandrova is on that list, especially with zero deep grand slam runs under her belt.

Give me Sabalenka to make her second Wimbledon quarterfinal.