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Aryna Sabalenka vs Iga Swiatek Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 4/23/23

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka
April 23, 2023 7:00 am EDT
The Line: Aryna Sabalenka +200 / Iga Swiatek -250
(Get latest betting odds)

Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the final of the 2023 tennis Stuttgart Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Iga Swiatek is coming off a 1 set win over Ons Jabeur that took 3 games to decide. In the victory, Swiatek won 71 percent of her first serve points and 100 percent of her second serve points. Swiatek won 80 percent of her total service points and converted on 1 of her 2 break points. Swiatek will be well rested for this event after playing just 17 minutes yesterday. Swiatek looks to win at least 4 matches for the fourth straight tournament. Swiatek looks to win her second title this year and her 13th title of her career. Swiatek is 5-1 in finals on clay court and 5-1 in WTA 1000 final trips. Swiatek has won 9 of her last 10 matches on clay court. 

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight set win over Anastasia Potapova that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 76 percent of her first serve points and 61 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 71 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 5 break points. Sabalenka got 65 percent of her first serves in play and saved all 3 of her break points. Sabalenka has now won 3 or more matches in 3 straight tournaments. Sabalenka looks to win her third title this year and her 13th title of her career. Sabalenka is 1-3 in career final trips on clay court and 4-1 in WTA 1000 finals. Sabalenka has won 8 of her last 10 matches on clay court. 

Swiatek has won 5 of the 7 meetings against Sabalenka, including the most recent match, which was a 2022 exhibition. Sabalenka did win last year’s meeting in Fort Worth. Swiatek is 2-0 against Sabalenka on clay, which includes a straight set win in this tournament last year.

Sabalenka has been on fire this year as it feels like a turning point in her career. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if taking a shot at doubling your money. However, Swiatek is still the woman to beat on this side, and she beat Sabalenka in both matches on clay, including the final in this event last year. It’s hard to bet against Swiatek.

Give me Swiatek to win her sixth WTA 1000 title.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Iga Swiatek -250

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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