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Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 4/27/23

Sorana Cirstea vs Aryna Sabalenka
April 27, 2023 10:00 am EDT
The Line: Aryna Sabalenka -455 / Sorana Cirstea +333
(Get latest betting odds)

Sorana Cirstea and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the second round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Sorana Cirstea is coming off a 3 sets win over Lauren Davis that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Cirstea won 73 percent of her first serve points and 44 percent of her second serve points. Cirstea won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 11 break points. Cirstea got 60 percent of her first serves in play and saved 3 of her 6 break points. Cirstea has won her last 3 matches that have gone the distance. Cirstea has 19 career wins over top-10 players, and 3 of those wins came this year. Cirstea has lost 5 of her last 7 matches on clay court.

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a straight sets loss to Iga Swiatek in the Stuttgart final. In the losing effort, Sabalenka won 58 percent of her total service points and was broken twice. Sabalenka has still won 10 of her last 13 matches and when you throw in her Australian Open title, this is her best year yet. Of course, Sabalenka is no stranger to Madrid, as she won the title here in 2021, and it’s actually her most recent WTA 1000 title. Sabalenka hasn’t lost an opening match since Guadalajara in October of last year. Sabalenka has won 7 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

Cirstea won the only meeting against Sabalenka, which was a straight setter this year in Miami. The match was decided in 20 games.

Cirstea will have the confidence knowing she beat Sabalenka already this year, and she’s been racking up nice wins over quality players overall. However, there are not many players hotter than Sabalenka at the moment, and she’s had success in this tournament as well, which tells us you shouldn’t expect things to cool off just yet. It’s tough to get in front of Sabalenka right now.

Give me Sabalenka in straight sets to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Aryna Sabalenka In Straight Sets

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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