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Berrettini vs Wawrinka Prediction 6/30/26 Tennis Picks Today

Berrettini vs Wawrinka
June 30, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Berrettini -375 / Wawrinka +290
(Get latest betting odds)

Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini meet on Tuesday at Wimbledon. Here’s a Berrettini vs Wawrinka Prediction. This article will include a Berrettini vs Wawrinka pick.

Wawrinka Betting Preview

Wawrinka will play for the first time since losing to Jesper De Jong in four sets at the French Open. Wawrinka has lost 8 of his last 10 matches overall as he’s had issues finding consistent success now that he’s in his 40s. The power shots are still there, and there are glimpses of the power serve that helped him win three grand slams. However, Wawrinka doesn’t move well these days, and he can really rack up the unforced errors. If you find Wawrinka on a good day when the shots come easy, he’s still capable of giving anybody in the field a scare.

Wawrinka has lost in the first round in 4 of his last 5 Grand Slam appearances. Wawrinka has lost in the first round of Wimbledon just once since 2018. 

Berrettini Betting Preview

Berrettini is coming off a quarterfinal trip in the French Open, where he retired in the second set against Matteo Arnaldi. Berrettini looked good through four matches where he was serving well and racking up the winners, but the heat and long time on the court caught up to him. Of course, Berrettini has struggled with injuries over the years, and the more time he plays, it seems like something is going to fall apart. At 30 years old, a rested and healthy Berrettini is still a problem due to his ability to take the racket out of his opponents’ hands consistently.

Berrettini lost in the first round of Wimbledon last year, but he also made the final here in 2021. Berrettini has lost in the first round of a grand slam just twice since 2020.

Berrettini vs Wawrinka H2H

Wawrinka won the only match against Berrettini, which was a 2022 exhibition in Diriyah. The match lasted 35 minutes.

Berrettini vs Wawrinka Prediction

For his age, Wawrinka is still competitive, and his power is still there. This feels like a competitive match where break points are hard to come by, and a couple of tiebreaks are involved. The difference is that Berrettini has done better in pressure points in recent years and doesn’t pile up the unforced errors the way Wawrinka has. It’s why Wawrinka hasn’t won much recently. He competes but hasn’t been able to close out matches. I trust Berrettini more at this stage. I’ll back him in straight sets to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Berrettini In Straight Sets

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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