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Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Prediction 6-7-24 Picks

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
June 7, 2024 8:30 am EDT
The Line: Carlos Alcaraz -175 / Jannik Sinner +135
(Get latest betting odds)

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner meet Friday in the 2024 French Open tennis semifinals. Here’s a Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Prediction.

Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview

Carlos Alcaraz is coming off a straight set win over Stefanos Tsitsipas that took 32 games to decide. In the victory, Alcaraz won 74 percent of his first serve points and 74 percent of his second serve points. Alcaraz won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on 4 of his 6 break points. Alcaraz got 73 percent of his first serves in play and hit 27 winners. Alcaraz has won 10 straight sets, and he’s 2-0 in tiebreaks this tournament overall. Alcaraz looks to make his third career grand slam final and first at the French Open. Alcaraz is 2-2 in career grand slam semifinal matches. Alcaraz has 27 career wins over top-10 players, and 4 of those wins came this year. Alcaraz has won 8 of his last 9 matches on clay court.

Jannik Sinner Betting Preview

Jannik Sinner is coming off a straight set win over Grigor Dimitrov that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Sinner won 81 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Sinner won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on 4 of his 10 break points. Sinner got 60 percent of his first serves in play and hit 29 winners. Sinner has dropped just one set this tournament, and he’s won his only tiebreak. Sinner looks to make his second career grand slam final and the first at the French Open. Sinner is 1-1 in career grand slam semifinal matches. Sinner has 28 career wins over top-10 players, and 6 of those wins came this year. Sinner has won 8 of his last 9 matches on clay court.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner H2H

Alcaraz has won 5 of the 9 meetings against Sinner, which includes a 3 set victory this year in Indian Wells. The two matches on clay were split, as Alcaraz won 2019 Alicante challenger, while Sinner won 2022 Umag. Sinner’s last win over Alcaraz came in 2023 Beijing. Only three of the matches were decided in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Prediction

You can make a case for either player, as both Sinner and Alcaraz have been fabulous this year, and in this tournament in particular. Sinner and the plus money probably is the better value play. However, I just trust Alcaraz more on this surface and these conditions. Alcaraz is at his best on clay, and he seems to be getting stronger each match. Sinner doesn’t look as comfortable on clay in terms of movement, and he has piled up the unforced errors in recent matches.

Again, this is expected to be a long, competitive match. I’m still rolling with Alcaraz. Give me Alcaraz in a classic 5 setter.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Carlos Alcaraz In 5 Sets

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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