Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev Prediction – Tennis Picks 10-03-2023

Second seed Daniil Medvedev will face eighth seed Alexander Zverev in the semifinal of the 2023 China Open in Beijing. The match will be played on Tuesday, October 3, 2023.

Daniil Medvedev earned his 41st match win on hard courts, the most of any player this season, with a three-set win over France’s Ugo Humbert. The Russian struggled to find his uber baseline consistency in the first two sets and dropped his first set at this tournament as Humbert ran rampant at the myriad of errors coming from Medvedev’s racket. It wasn’t long before the second seed rediscovered his mojo and served a clinic in the third set, not recording a single unforced error to advance into the semifinal – his 10th of the 18 ATP events he has contested this season.

Medvedev will take on familiar foe Alexander Zverev, who extended his win streak on Chinese soil to seven matches. Last week, the tall German captured his second ATP title of 2023 with a comeback win over Roman Safiullin in the final in Chengdu. Since then, three sets have been the order of the day in Zverev’s matches. The 26-year-old has taken the distance in each of his three matches in Beijing, but contrary to the general consensus about him accumulating fatigue, he’s been finishing off his matches with increased energy levels. Zverev will rise to fifth place in the ATP Race with a title win this week, but the odds are stacked against him. It would take a colossal performance to defeat potentially the top two seeds at the tournament to do so.

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head over Alexander Zverev 9-7. In 2023 meetings, the Russian leads 3-1. Zverev, however, tasted victory in their most recent clash at the Cincinnati Masters. There has been drama and tension in each of their bouts this year and we fancy this one to be another close tussle. Zverev is unbeaten in seven matches in China, and his last loss came at the 2019 Shanghai Masters to Medvedev. As fate would have it, the Russian is likely to inflict another defeat. Zverev has played non-stop tennis for a week now and that will certainly catch up with him. Bank on Medvedev to win this match outright.