Julia Grabher vs Daria Kasatkina
May 14, 2023 9:00 am EDT
The Line: Daria Kasatkina -714 / Julia Grabher +450
(Get latest betting odds)
Julia Grabher and Daria Kasatkina meet in the third round of the 2023 tennis Italian Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Julia Grabher is coming off a 3 sets win over Jil Teichmann that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Grabher won 64 percent of her first serve points and 31 percent of her second serve points. Grabher won 53 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 9 break points. Grabher got 64 percent of her first serves in play and hit 1 ace. Grabher has played back to back 3 set matches and she’s won 3 straight that have gone the distance. Grabher has a chance to win 3 straight matches for the first time since winning a ITF title back in October of last year. Grabher has split her last 8 matches on clay court.
Daria Kasatkina is coming off a straight set win over Lisa Pigato that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Kasatkina won 62 percent of her first serve points and 18 percent of her second serve points. Kasatkina won 54 percent of her total service points and converted on 8 of her 10 break points. Kasatkina got 80 percent of her first serves in play and saved 7 of 10 break points. Kasatkina looks to win at least 2 matches for the third time in her last 4 tournaments. Kasatkina looks to make the fourth round of a WTA 1000 for the second time since 2020. Kasatkina has won 6 of her last 9 matches on clay court.
There’s no match history between these 2 players.
Grabher had double-digit double faults in her last match, and that’s not going to fly against a player like Kasatkina if those issues continue. Grabher also has limited experience in big tournaments on the main tour. There’s just a lot working against Grabher in this matchup.
Give me Kasatkina in straight sets for max betting value.
