
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Qinwen Zheng Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 4/30/23
Qinwen Zheng vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
April 30, 2023 10:00 am EDT
The Line: Ekaterina Alexandrova +129 / Qinwen Zheng -161
(Get latest betting odds)
Qinwen Zheng and Ekaterina Alexandrova meet in the third round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Qinwen Zheng is coming off a straight set win over Caty McNally that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Zheng won 66 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Zheng won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 8 break points. Zheng got 55 percent of her first serves in play and hit 7 aces. Zheng has won 5 of her last 7 matches and looks to make the fourth round of a WTA 1000 for the second time in her career. Zheng has won 8 of her last 10 matches on clay court.
Ekaterina Alexandrova is coming off a straight set win over Alize Cornet that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Alexandrova won 83 percent of her first serve points and 58 percent of her second serve points. Alexandrova won 71 percent of her total service points and converted on 2 of her 4 break points. Alexandrova got 53 percent of her first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Alexandrova looks to win at least 2 matches for the third time in her last 4 tournaments. Alexandrova looks to make it back to back fourth round appearances in Madrid. Alexandrova has split her last 10 matches on clay court.
Alexandrova won the only match against Zheng, which was 2022 Charleston. The match was decided in 3 sets and 27 games. Zheng retired late in the third set when she was down 2-5.
This line is a bit strange as you can make a strong argument Alexandrova is in better form, she made the semifinals of Madrid last year and beat Zheng in the only meeting. Yes, Zheng is a more than capable player who looked sharp in her last outing, but we’re getting plus money with Alexandrova, and it’s hard to turn down.
Give me the Russian to advance.