Irina-Camelia Begu vs Liudmila Samsonova Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 5/1/23

Liudmila Samsonova and Irina-Camelia Begu meet in the fourth round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Liudmila Samsonova is coming off a straight set win over Jelena Ostapenko that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Samsonova won 85 percent of her first serve points and 54 percent of her second serve points. Samsonova won 75 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 8 break points. Samsonova got 68 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Samsonova hasn’t dropped a set yet and has lost a combined 7 games through 2 matches. Samsonova looks to win 3 straight matches for the first time since Abu Dhabi back in February. Samsonova hopes to make her first career WTA 1000 quarterfinal. Samsonova has split her last 10 matches on clay court.

Irina-Camelia Begu is coming off a straight set win over Shelby Rogers that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Begu won 81 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Begu won 74 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 12 break points. Begu got 78 percent of her first serves in play and hit 2 aces. Each of Begu’s last 5 wins have been decided in straight sets. Begu looks to win 3 straight matches for the first time since Adelaide back in January. Begu looks to make her fourth career WTA 1000 quarterfinal and third in Madrid. Begu has won 8 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

There’s no match history between these 2 players.

Samsonova is probably in better form overall making her the more trustworthy player, however, it’s Begu that’s the more proven player in big tournaments and has even made the quarters here twice already. Begu is also coming off an impressive performance with her first serve. There’s value with the dog in this spot.

I like Begu to make her third quarterfinal trip in Madrid.