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Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction 8-19-24 Tennis Picks

Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe
August 19, 2024 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Jannik Sinner -345 / Frances Tiafoe +275
(Get latest betting odds)

Jannik Sinner and Frances Tiafoe meet Monday in the tennis 2024 Cincinnati Open Final. Here’s a Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction. This article will include a Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe Pick.

Jannik Sinner Betting Preview

Jannik Sinner is coming off a 3 set win over Alexander Zverev that took 38 games to decide. In the victory, Sinner won 70 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Sinner won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on 2 of his 4 break points. Sinner got 62 percent of his first serves in play and hit 12 aces. Sinner has won back to back 3 set matches, and he’s now won 11 of his last 12 tiebreaks. Sinner looks to win his fifth title of the year and his 15th title of his career. Sinner is 4-0 in final appearances this year and 14-4 in final appearances for his career. Sinner is 2-2 in final trips in Masters 1000 and 12-4 in final trips on hard court. Sinner has won 6 of his last 7 matches on hard court.


Frances Tiafoe Betting Preview

Frances Tiafoe is coming off a 3 set win over Holger Rune that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Tiafoe won 78 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Tiafoe won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on 3 of his 6 break points. Tiafoe got 50 percent of his first serves in play and hit 13 aces. Tiafoe pulled off a miracle comeback after trailing the third set 2-5, and it’s going to be interesting to see how he responds from such an emotional win. Tiafoe looks to win his first title of the year and his fourth title of his career. Tiafoe hasn’t won a title since last year’s Stuttgart Open, and he lost his only other final trip this year at the U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championships. Tiafoe is 3-5 in final appearances for his career. Tiafoe has never played in a Masters 1000 final and is 1-2 in final trips on hard court overall. Tiafoe has won 8 of his last 10 matches on hard court.

Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe H2H

Sinner has won 3 of the 4 matches against Tiafoe, including the most recent match in 2023 Vienna. Tiafoe’s only win over Sinner was 2021 Vienna. Only one of the four matches was decided in straight sets.

Jannik Sinner vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Sinner is the rightful favorite as he’s flexing his muscle as the best player in the world, he owns the H2H, and he has far and away more big match experience. However, we’re getting nearly three times our money with Tiafoe. One, Tiafoe isn’t the same player he was a couple of years ago, and three of the matches were in 2021 or later. Tiafoe also plays some of his best tennis on the biggest stages or when he has the crowd behind him. That’s the case here.

Will Sinner win? Probably. But I do want to take a shot in the dark with Tiafoe at these odds. On US soil, he’s a live dog.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Frances Tiafoe +275

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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