Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz Prediction 9-8-24 US Open Picks
Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz
September 8, 2024 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Taylor Fritz +300 / Jannik Sinner -400
(Get latest betting odds)
Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz meet Sunday in the 2024 US Open tennis final. Here’s a Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz Prediction. This article will include a Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz Pick.
Jannik Sinner Betting Preview
Jannik Sinner is coming off a straight set win over Jack Draper that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Sinner won 77 percent of his first serve points and 74 percent of his second serve points. Sinner won 76 percent of his total service points and converted on 4 of his 11 break points. Sinner got 65 percent of his first serves in play and hit 43 winners. Sinner has dropped just two sets this tournament and is now 3-0 in tiebreaks. Sinner has won each of his last 10 played matches, and 6 of those wins were decided in straight sets.
Sinner looks to win his second career grand slam title and first at the US Open. Sinner is 5-0 in final appearances this year, 15-4 in final appearances overall, and 13-4 in final appearances on hard court. Sinner has won 11 straight matches on hard court.
Taylor Fritz Betting Preview
Taylor Fritz is coming off a 5 set win over Frances Tiafoe that took 49 games to decide. In the victory, Fritz won 75 percent of his first serve points and 65 percent of his second serve points. Fritz won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on 6 of his 11 break points. Fritz got 58 percent of his first serves in play and hit 42 winners. Fritz has played 13 sets of tennis in his last 3 matches and nearly 7 hours of tennis in his last 2 matches alone, so conditioning could be a factor in this match for the American. With that said, Fritz is 4-1 in his last five 5 set matches.
Fritz looks to win his first grand slam title, his third title this year and the ninth title of his career. Fritz is 8-6 in career final appearances and 5-5 in final trips on hard court. Four of Fritz’s titles have come in the United States. Fritz has 25 career wins over top-10 players, and 6 of those wins have come this year. Two of those wins have come in this tournament (Ruud and Zverev). Fritz has won 7 of his last 9 matches on hard court.
Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz H2H
The previous two meetings have been split, as Fritz won 2021 Indian Wells in straight sets and Sinner won 2023 Indian Wells in 3 sets. This will obviously be the third meeting on hard court.
Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Sinner should be favored in this match, considering he was probably the guy to beat from the beginning. However, the price is kind of nuts. Sinner has found ways to win recent matches, but he has yet to put together great performances, and that includes a combined 72 unforced errors in his last two matches. Sinner had serious trouble with his forehand in the semifinal, he was just able to outlast Draper physically, who was throwing up throughout the match. Fritz will have windows where he can take advantage of a sloppy Sinner, and of course that serve gives him an even stronger punchers chance. There’s also the home crowd, which gives Fritz even more of a shot.
Assuming Fritz doesn’t break down due to the amount of tennis he’s played in his last three matches, this is a winnable match. Give me the American and a chance to make three times my money.