Jelena Ostapenko vs Liudmila Samsonova Pick – Tennis Predictions & Odds 4/29/23

Liudmila Samsonova and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the third round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Liudmila Samsonova is coming off a straight set win over Maryna Zanevska that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Samsonova won 79 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Samsonova won 66 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 8 break points. Samsonova got 60 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Samsonova looks to win back to back matches for the first time since Dubai back in February. Samsonova also looks to make the fourth round of a WTA 1000 for the second time in her career. Samsonova has lost 5 of her last 6 matches on clay court.

Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a straight set win over Linda Fruhvirtova that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 67 percent of her first serve points and 71 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko won 69 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 6 break points. Ostapenko got 56 percent of her first serves in play and hit 2 aces. Ostapenko is enjoying a bounce back year and has quietly won 13 of her last 20 matches. Ostapenko has a chance to make the fourth round of Madrid for the first time in her career. Ostapenko has lost 6 of her last 9 matches on clay court.

Ostapenko beat Samsonova twice in straight sets. The matches were 2020 Australian Open and 2021 Luxembourg. 

Ostapenko is simply playing the better tennis at the moment, and she’s made light work against Samsonova in past meetings. Ostapenko also has far and away more big match success, so I trust her more in spots like this, a big tournament with a chance to push for a quarterfinal spot or even further.

Give me Ostapenko and the cheap price.