Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa
April 29, 2023 10:00 am EDT
The Line: Paula Badosa -125 / Coco Gauff +100
(Get latest betting odds)
Coco Gauff and Paula Badosa meet in the third round of the 2023 tennis Madrid Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Coco Gauff is coming off a straight set win over Irene Burillo Escorihuela that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Gauff won 67 percent of her first serve points and 41 percent of her second serve points. Gauff won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 11 break points. Gauff got 73 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Gauff has now won 7 of her last 10 matches and looks to make the fourth round of Madrid for the first time in her career. Gauff has won 8 of her last 10 matches on clay court.
Paula Badosa is coming off a 3 sets win over Elisabetta Cocciaretto that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Badosa won 64 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Badosa won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 14 break points. Badosa got 53 percent of her first serves in play and hit 5 aces. Badosa has won 7 of her last 10 matches and has a chance to make the fourth round of a WTA 1000 for the first time since last year’s Miami Open. Badosa has 9 career wins over top-10 players, and 1 of those wins came this year. Badosa has won 7 of her last 10 matches on clay court.
Badosa has won 2 of the 3 meetings against Gauff, including the most recent match in 2022 San Jose. Gauff’s lone win over Badosa came in 2022 Doha. This will be the first meeting on clay.
Badosa will have the mental edge, knowing she’s won 2 of the 3 matches against Gauff. However, we’re getting even money with Gauff, the better player overall. Also, Badosa had issues with her second serve her last time out, and that wouldn’t fly against the American and her powerful returns.
Toss up match, but I’ll lean toward Gauff and the more favorable price.
