Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Mikael Ymer 5/28/22 French Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Mikael Ymer and Stefanos Tsitsipas meet in the third round of the 2022 tennis French Open.

Mikael Ymer is coming off a four sets win over Daniel Evans that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Ymer won 69 percent of his first serve points and 38 percent of his second serve points. Ymer won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on eight of his 16 break points. Ymer saved 10 of his 15 break points and hit four aces. Ymer has to be better with his second serve to have a chance here, but it’s quite impressive he’s made it this far considering he entered this tournament on a seven-match losing streak. Ymer looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time in his career. Ymer is 0-3 in previous grand slam third round matches. Ymer has lost 5 of his last 7 matches on clay court.

Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a four sets win over Zdenek Kolar that took 48 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 74 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Tsitsipas won 66 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his 12 break points. Tsitsipas hit 25 aces and 67 winners in a match that last over four hours and ended with three straight tiebreaks. Tsitsipas has played nearly eight hours of tennis through his first two matches. Tsitsipas looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the eighth time in his career. Tsitsipas has made the fourth round of the French Open each of the last three years. Tsitsipas is 7-3 in previous grand slam third round matches. Tsitsipas has won 6 of his last 7 matches on clay court.

Tsitsipas has won all three meetings against Ymer in straight sets. The most recent match was this year in the Australian Open, the tournament where two of the three matches took place. This will be their first clash on clay court.

Fatigue and conditioning will be tested for Tsitsipas the more he plays, as he’s played a ton of tennis just to get to this point. However, Ymer has had zero success against Tsitsipas in three matches, so this could end up being a routine match that allows the Greek to get some needed rest. 

I’ll side with Tsitsipas in straight sets, but I’m losing some confidence in him to make an honest run for a title given the massive workload.