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Swiatek vs Bencic Prediction 7-10-25 Wimbledon Picks

Swiatek vs Bencic
July 10, 2025 10:30 am EDT
The Line: Bencic +245 / Swiatek -310
(Get latest betting odds)

Belinda Bencic and Iga Swiatek meet Thursday in the Wimbledon semifinals. Here’s a Swiatek vs Bencic Prediction. This article will include a Swiatek vs Bencic Pick.

Belinda Bencic Betting Preview

Bencic upset Mirra Andreeva in the quarterfinals in straight sets, winning two tiebreaks that weren’t that competitive. Bencic has now won each of her last five sets, and she’s 4-0 in tiebreaks in this tournament. This is kind of a surprise run given Bencic entered Wimbledon on a three-match losing streak, and she’s still working her way back from giving birth last year. This is the first time Bencic has made it out of the fourth round of Wimbledon.

Bencic hopes to win a grand slam semifinal for the first time in her career, as her only other semifinal trip was in the 2019 US Open, which she lost to Bianca Andreescu in straight sets. Bencic has 38 career wins over top-10 players, and three of those wins have come this year. Bencic has a chance to make her second final appearance of the year.

Iga Swiatek Betting Preview

Swiatek is fresh off a straight set win over Liudmila Samsonova, and she has dropped just one set this tournament. Swiatek has won each of her last eight sets, and she’s lost three or fewer games in six of those sets. While it’s been an up and down season for Swiatek overall, it’s safe to say she’s finding her form over the last week. In her last two matches combined, Swiatek has hit 49 winners and has produced 10 breaks. Swiatek has seen 12 of her last 14 wins decided in straight sets.

Swiatek looks to make her sixth career grand slam final appearance and first at Wimbledon. Swiatek is 5-3 in grand slam semifinal matches, but she’s lost her last two, both coming this year. Swiatek looks to make hr second final appearance of the year and her 28th for her career. 

Swiatek vs Bencic H2H

Swiatek has won three of the last four matches against Bencic, which includes a win in the last meeting, which was 2023 Wimbledon. The match was decided in three sets and was the only grass court match. Bencic’s only win over Swiatek came in the 2021 US Open. Three of the four matches have been decided in straight sets.

Swiatek vs Bencic Prediction

Swiatek deserves to be the favorite based on experience and reputation, but she’s also had games where she’s racked up the unforced errors, and grass has never been her favorite surface. Bencic has been cleaner with much of her ball striking, and she’s more comfortable on this surface. Bencic has also been an underdog in her last two matches and has passed with flying colors. If Bencic continues to get 65 or higher percentage of her first serves in play, she’ll have a chance to steal this match, sending Swiatek home in the semifinals of a grand slam for the third time this year. We’re getting two times our money with the Swiss. Give me Bencic.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Bencic +245

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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