Michel Pereira and Andre Petroski fight Saturday in UFC Fight Night 230 at UFC Apex. Pereira enters this fight with a 28-11 record and has won 39 percent of his fights by decision. Petroski enters this fight with a 28-11 record and has won 39 percent of his fights by decision.

Michel Pereira Betting Preview

Pereira has won 5 straight fights and is coming off a May (2022) win over Santiago Ponzinibbio. Pereira is averaging 5.09 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 54 percent. Pereira is averaging 1.58 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 55 percent. Pereira is coming off a decision win at UFC Fight Night 206 where he landed 110 total strikes. The bout earned fight of the night honors. Pereira has seen his last 4 fights go the distance, and he’s won 11 of his 19 career decisions. Pereira is fun to watch, has great athleticism, is unpredictable on the feet, will throw anything at any moment and has some of the most impressive knockouts you’ll ever see. A black belt in BJJ and karate, Pereira is hard to read, and it makes him quite dangerous. Pereira is also a tough fighter with solid defense and has been finished just twice in 11 losses. This will be Pereira’s fifth career fight in Nevada.

Andre Petroski Betting Preview

Petroski has won 5 straight fights and is coming off an August win over Gerald Meerschaert. Petroski is averaging 3.68 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 51 percent. Petroski is averaging 4.56 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 54 percent. Petroski is coming off a decision win at UFC 292 where he landed 67 total strikes and produced 2 takedowns. Petroski is now 5-0 under the UFC banner, and he’s 2-0 in career decisions. Petroski is a brown belt in BJJ and is an exciting fighter who has finished 8 of his 10 victories. Petroski is a balanced fighter with a high striking accuracy and highly successful takedown ability. Petroski has shown he can fight either style and at 32 years old, he’s somebody who can make a dent in the middleweight division if he stays on this path. This will be Petroski’s third career fight in Nevada.

H2H History 

There’s no fight history between these 2 fighters.

Randy’s Free Pick

Pereira is getting the benefit of the doubt here, and he should win this fight on paper. Petroski has a history of cardio issues, and he’s taking this fight on short notice. With all that said, Petroski and plus money is intriguing given that he’s been highly impressive both in his striking and takedowns. Pereira also hasn’t fought in over a year, so there’s potential rust here. We’re getting almost two times our money with a talented fighter in Petroski. I’ll take it.