Jessica Andrade and Tatiana Suarez fight Saturday in UFC on ESPN 50 (UFC Nashville) at Bridgestone Arena. Andrade enters this fight with a 24-11 record and has won 38 percent of her fights by knockout. Suarez enters this fight with a 9-0 record and has won 44 percent of her fights by submission.

Andrade Betting Preview

Andrade has split her last 10 fights and is coming off a May loss to Yan Xiaonan. Andrade is averaging 6.82 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 50 percent. Andrade is averaging 2.61 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 54 percent. Andrade is coming off a knockout loss at UFC 288 where she landed 12 total strikes and ate 26 total strikes. It was the fifth time Andrade was knocked out, and she’s looking for her first win since UFC 283. This will be Andrade’s fourth fight this year. Andrade is a pressure fighter who usually gets the best of her opponent on her feet with constant wild punches and a lot of pop behind her strikes. Andrade is violent standing up and has a great ground and pound. A black belt in BJJ, Andrade has the upper body strength to get a fight wherever she wants, and her aggressiveness and brute power makes her one of the scarier fighters on the women’s side. However, Andrade has been finished in 8 of her 11 losses. This will be Andrade’s first career fight in Tennessee.

Tatiana Suarez Betting Preview

This will be Suarez’s second fight this year and is coming off a February win over Montana De La Rosa. Suarez is averaging 4.35 significant strikes per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 66 percent. Suarez is averaging 6.12 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 58 percent. Suarez is coming off a submission win at UFC Fight Night 220 that earned performance of the night. In the victory, Suarez landed 37 total strikes and produced 2 takedowns. Suarez now has 4 career submissions, all have come by different techniques, and she’s 6-0 under the UFC banner. Suarez is a brown belt in BJJ and comes from a strong wrestling background that includes a couple of bronze medals in the world championships. Suarez has some striking ability and has a pair of knockouts, but she’s far and away more comfortable in the clinch and on the ground. Once Suarez gets her hands on her opponent, she’s in control and either rides her way to a decision or finds a submission hold. This will be Suarez’s first career fight in Tennessee.

H2H History 

There’s no fight history between these 2 fighters.

Randy’s Free Pick

It’s strange to see Andrade fall off in terms of odds, as it wasn’t that long ago when she was one of the scariest fighters on the planet and a big favorite. Now you’re getting 3 times your money. It’s a what have you done for me lately business, folks. With that said, Suarez has been consistent throughout her career, and she has a clear size edge, as she’s 4 inches taller and has a 4-inch reach advantage. Once Suarez can close the distance and get her hands on Andrade, she should control everything. Tough matchup for Andrade if we’re being honest. 

Give me Suarez to win inside distance to shave down the price.