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Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury – 9/17/20 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury - 9/17/20 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
2020-09-17 19:00:00 EDT

The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx meet Thursday in the second round of the WNBA playoffs at the IMG Academy.

The Phoenix Mercury look for another playoff win after beating the Washington Mystics on Tuesday. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 86.1 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 84.1 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Diana Taurasi is averaging 18.7 points and 4.2 rebounds while Skylar Diggins-Smith is averaging 17.7 points and 3.3 rebounds. Brittney Griner is the third double-digit scorer and Bria Hartley is dishing 4.5 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.5 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.

The Minnesota Lynx enter the playoffs splitting their last eight games. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 84.4 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 80.6 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Crystal Dangerfield is averaging 16.2 points and two rebounds while Napheesa Collier is averaging 16.1 points and 3.3 assists. Sylvia Fowles is the third double-digit scorer and Damiris Dantas is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game. 

The Mercury are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Lynx are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. The over is 4-0 in Lynx last 4 overall. The Mercury are 3-10-2 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Minnesota and 16-33-2 ATS in the last 51 meetings.

The Minnesota Lynx have won eight of the last 10 meetings against the Mercury and have ben the most trustworthy team overall this season. However, I mentioned before how I have issues leaving points on the table with the Mercury, as they’re still one of the more talented teams in the league, are battle tested in the playoffs and are as well coached as any team in the league. Also, a last second victory i the first round can do wonders for a teams confidence. Give me the Mercury and the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Phoenix Mercury +4.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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