WNBA Picks

Aces vs Fever Prediction 9-27-26 WNBA Picks

Aces vs Fever
September 27, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Aces -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in the WNBA playoffs at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s an Aces vs. Fever Prediction. This article will include an Aces vs. Fever Pick.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look for a win after winning 18 of their last 26 games. The Fever have won 5 of their last 8 road games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 96.7 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 90.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 24.7 points and 2.8 assists, while Caitlin Clark is averaging 22.3 points and 4 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 1.2 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 81.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look for a win after winning 30 of their last 44 games. The Aces have won 4 straight home games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 91.3 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 85.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 26.2 points and 9.4 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 18.9 points and 4.4 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Jewell Loyd is dishing out 1.4 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The Aces have won each of their last seven home games following a road win.
  • The Fever have lost 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs after losing as favorites.
  • The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home favorites following a road win.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Aces and Fever.
  • The Aces have lost six of their last seven day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Aces’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Fever’s last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • Chelsea Gray has recorded 41 games with 3+ assists this season- the most of any player in the league.
  • Brianna Turner ranks last amongst 125 qualified players for points per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • The Indiana Fever averages 99.0 points per 40 minutes while Makayla Timpson is on the floor this season- the highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
  • Sophie Cunningham ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Las Vegas Aces have recorded the longest winning streak in the WNBA this season (7 games).
  • The Las Vegas Aces have recorded the longest home winning streak in the WNBA this season (6 games).
  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (38.6%).
  • The Indiana Fever rank T1st for field goals made per game this season (33.7).

Aces vs Fever Injury Report

NaLyssa Smith is out for the Aces with a leg injury. Dana Evans is out with a knee injury.

Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue. Tyasha Harris is out with a leg injury. Aliyah Boston is questionable with a leg issue.

Aces vs Fever Prediction

The Fever are going to be a popular pick for the betting public, and they’ve won 3 of the last 5 games against the Aces. However, this is the big girl part of the season, and there’s no team as accomplished or proven as the Aces. You’re giving me a small number with the Aces in the playoffs; I have to take it. Young is going to feast on this Fever backcourt that struggles defensively. Also, I don’t love seeing Boston on the injury report. Small number, I’ll gladly lay it with the Aces at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Aces -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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