Aces vs Liberty
July 30, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Aces -5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in WNBA action at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s an Aces vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include an Aces vs Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look to build on their 3-game winning streak. The Liberty have lost 5 of their last 6 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 89.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 87 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 21.4 points and 3.1 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 15.6 points and 3.9 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces look for a win after winning 19 of their last 27 games. The Aces have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 91.3 points on 49.3 percent shooting and allowing 86.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 26.2 points and 9.7 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 17 points and 4.3 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and NaLyssa Smith is dishing out 0.8 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won 12 of their last 13 Thursday home games.
- The Liberty have lost 10 of their last 11 Thursday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games.
- The Aces have covered the spread in six of their last seven night games against the Liberty following a home win.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Aces have lost each of their last three games as home favorites following a home win.
- The Liberty have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Aces.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Liberty’s last five games.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games following a home win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Liberty’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Aces’ last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Aces vs Liberty Injury Report
Kierstan Bell is doubtful for the Aces due to a leg injury. Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is out with a concussion. NaLyssa Smith is questionable with an illness.
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury. Marine Johannes is questionable with an ankle injury.
Aces vs Liberty Prediction
The Aces are going to be favored because they’re the Aces at home. The Liberty have also been underwhelming over the last month. However, it’s hard to turn down the points with the Liberty. One, the Liberty are still a talented team that you don’t often get in the big underdog role. Also, the Liberty have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Aces, which includes beating them twice this season. The Aces struggle with the Liberty’s length, and it’s been the case now for years. Until that changes, give me the points with the Liberty.
