Aces vs Valkyries
October 9, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Aces -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Valkyries and Las Vegas Aces meet Friday in the WNBA playoffs at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s an Aces vs. Valkyries Prediction. This article will include an Aces vs. Valkyries Pick.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview
The Golden State Valkyries have a chance to make the WNBA Finals in their second season. The Valkyries have won 5 of their last 7 road games.
The Golden State Valkyries are averaging 87 points on 41.9 percent shooting and allowing 80.4 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Gabby Williams is averaging 24 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Tiffany Hayes is averaging 13.8 points and 2 assists. Veronica Burton is dishing 4 assists, and Kayla Thornton is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Golden State Valkyries are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Valkyries are allowing 38.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.8 rebounds per game.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces need a win to force a game 5 on Sunday. The Aces haven’t lost 3 straight games all season. The Aces have won 6 straight home games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 85.2 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 84.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 28.8 points and 9.2 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 19 points and 3.6 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Stephanie Talbot is dishing out 1.3 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 83.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29 rebounds per game.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Aces have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The Aces have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games.
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
- The Valkyries have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Aces have lost three of their last four games.
- The Valkyries have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Valkyries’ last four road games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Aces’ last four night games at Michelob Ultra Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- Chelsea Gray has recorded 46 games with 3+ assists this season – most of any player in the league.
- Brianna Turner ranks last amongst 125 qualified players for points per 36 minutes (4.3) this season.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
- Veronica Burton has recorded nine games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season- equal to the most of any player in the league.
- Cecilia Zandalasini ranks 15th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Las Vegas Aces are the only team to rank in the top three for both points and assists per game this season.
- Six different Las Vegas Aces players have scored 25+ points in a game this season- the most in the league.
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent assists per game this season (18.2).
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for opponent steals per game this season (5.7).
Aces vs Valkyries Injury Report
The Valkyries don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
NaLyssa Smith is out for the Aces with a leg injury. Jewell Loyd is questionable with a leg injury. Stephanie Talbot is questionable with a leg injury.
Aces vs Valkyries Prediction
It’s hard to turn down the Valkyries and the points as they’ve controlled the pace of this series and are making the Aces work for everything. It doesn’t help when the Aces have depth issues as it is, and we’re seeing Loyd and Talbot banged up. Outside of A’ja, Young, and Gray, there’s not much coming to save the Aces. It makes the points attractive.
However, we’re talking about a core that has endless hardware, including three titles. The same reason I backed the Liberty is why I’m on the Aces in game 3. It’s hard to kill the heart of a champion, and I believe there’s still something to say. I’ll lay the points.
