WNBA Picks

Dream vs Aces Prediction 5-17-26 WNBA Picks

Dream vs Aces
May 17, 2026 1:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dream +2.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Aces and Atlanta Dream meet Sunday in WNBA action at State Farm Arena. Here’s a Dream vs. Aces Prediction. This article will include a Dream vs. Aces Pick.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look for a fourth straight win to improve to 4-1 on the season. The Aces have won 11 straight regular season road games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 92.5 points on 54.1 percent shooting and allowing 85 points on 41.2 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 26.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Chennedy Carter is averaging 19.3 points and 3 rebounds. Jackie Young is the third double-digit scorer and Chelsea Gray is dishing 6.8 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Dream Betting Preview

The Atlanta Dream look to stay undefeated when they play their first home game of the season. The Dream hasn’t started a season 3-0 since the 2013 season.

The Atlanta Dream are averaging 84 points on 40.1 percent shooting and allowing 81 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Allisha Gray is averaging 25 points and 6 rebounds, while Jordin Canada is averaging 15.5 points and 5.5 assists. Rhyne Howard is the third double-digit scorer and Angel Reese is grabbing 15 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 25.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 20.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

  • The Dream have won each of their last six day games.
  • The Aces have lost eight of their last nine day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The road team has won each of the Aces’ last six games.
  • The Dream have lost 10 of their last 11 games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Dream have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at State Farm Arena.
  • The road team has covered the spread in five of the Aces’ last six games.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the last six games between the Dream and Aces has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Aces’ last five games at State Farm Arena has gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

  • Angel Reese ranks 1st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (15.0) this season.
  • Jordin Canada has recorded 1+ assists in 157 consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • Chennedy Carter ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.1%) this season.
  • A’ja Wilson is the only player in the league to have scored 40+ points in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (45.0).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.5).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank T1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for field goal percentage this season (54.1%).

Dream vs Aces Injury Report

The Dream will be without Brionna Jones due to a knee injury. Rhyne Howard is out with a concussion.

The Aces will be without Dana Evans due to a leg injury. Janiah Barker is out with a concussion.

Dream vs Aces Prediction

The Dream are talented enough to win this game and there will be energy in the building with this being their first home game. There’s reason to be excited about this team. However, we’re getting a soft number with the Aces, a number you won’t see often this season. The Aces already have three road wins this season and have won 11 straight regular season road games overall. The Aces have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Dream. The Dream are also missing one of their better scorers in Rhyne Howard. I have to side with the Aces and the small number.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Aces -2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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