Dream vs Liberty Prediction 10-6-26 WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream meet Tuesday in the WNBA playoffs at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Dream vs. Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Dream vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty haven’t lost back-to-back games since September 23. The Liberty have won 5 of their last 8 road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 86.7 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 41.7 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 24.7 points and 4.3 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Leonie Fiebich is grabbing 6 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 95.7 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Dream Betting Preview

The Atlanta Dream are riding an 8-game winning streak. The Dream have won 5 straight home games.

The Atlanta Dream are averaging 92.3 points on 43.5 percent shooting and allowing 78 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Rhyne Howard is averaging 19 points and 4 rebounds, while Jordin Canada is averaging 18 points and 8.3 assists. Allisha Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Angel Reese is grabbing 8.7 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 86.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

• The Dream have won each of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Liberty have lost four of their last five games against Dream teams that held a winning record.
• The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Liberty have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The road team has covered the spread in three of the last four games between the Dream and Liberty.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Dream’s last eight playoff games at State Farm Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Liberty’s last four road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

• Rhyne Howard is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (0.9) and free-throw percentage (86.2%) this season.
• Naz Hillmon has finished with a positive plus-minus in each of her last eight games- the longest active streak in the league.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
• Pauline Astier ranks 8th amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (63.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for steals per game this season (9.1).
• The Atlanta Dream rank 14th for blocks per game this season (3.3).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.8).

Dream vs Liberty Injury Report

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Xu Han is questionable with an illness.

Brionna Jones is out for the Dream with a leg injury.

Dream vs Liberty Prediction

The Liberty and the free bucket are worth a look given their experience, but it might be time to stop fading the Dream and just accept this looks like the best team in the field. The Dream are 8-0 SU and ATS in their last 8 games. The Dream have also beaten the Liberty three times since September 21. We also can’t ignore the Liberty’s issues on the road all season. The Dream looked comfortable offensively in game 1 and are cruising with confidence. I’ll lay the bucket with the Dream.