Dream vs Mercury
May 24, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dream -5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Gateway Center. Here’s a Dream vs. Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Dream vs. Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 4 of their last 5 games. The Mercury have lost 7 of their last 9 regular season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 88.5 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 87.8 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 18.5 points and 2.5 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 17.7 points and 8.2 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Dream Betting Preview
The Atlanta Dream look for their second home win to build on their 3-1 record. The Dream have won 7 of their last 9 regular season home games.
The Atlanta Dream are averaging 84.5 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 79 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Allisha Gray is averaging 22.8 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Rhyne Howard is averaging 18 points and 5.7 assists. Jordin Canada is the third double-digit scorer and Angel Reese is grabbing 11.8 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 27 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 26.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Dream will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last 12 day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dream have won each of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against the Mercury.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last three games between the Dream and Mercury.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Dream and Mercury.
- The Dream have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
Total Points: Facts
- Twelve of the Mercury’s last 13 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Dream’s last nine day games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Dream Player Facts
- Jordin Canada is the only player in the league to have recorded 6+ steals in a game this season.
- Angel Reese has recorded 8+ rebounds in 10 consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- DeWanna Bonner ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- Natasha Mack ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (69.4%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (42.5).
- The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for offensive rebounds per game this season (11.5).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (10.0).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for free throws made per game this season (22.0).
Dream vs Mercury Injury Report
The Dream will be without Brionna Jones due to a knee injury.
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury. Monique Akoa Makani is questionable due to conditioning issues.
Dream vs Mercury Prediction
I considered the Mercury and the points because they’re better than what they’ve shown up to this point. However, at some point you have to show us something. Words only mean so much. The Mercury have not defended well and they’re 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games dating back to last season. The Dream have covered 3 straight games and have played great over their last few games. The Dream would be undefeated right now if it weren’t for a Chelsea Gray game winner. Early starts usually favor the home team and the Dream are rolling. I have to lay the reasonable number with Atlanta.
