Fever vs Aces Prediction 10-1-26 WNBA Picks

The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in the WNBA playoffs at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Here’s a Fever vs. Aces Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs. Aces Pick.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look to make it out of the first round in back-to-back seasons. The Fever have split their last 8 road games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 92 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 95.5 points on 51.2 percent shooting. Caitlin Clark is averaging 21 points and 12.5 assists, while Aliyah Boston is averaging 20 points and 6 rebounds. Kelsey Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer, and Raven Johnson is dishing out 0.5 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29 rebounds per game.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look to make the second round for an eighth straight season. The Aces have won 5 straight home games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 95.5 points on 51.2 percent shooting and allowing 92 points on 48.6 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 30 points and 12.5 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 26 points and 3 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Jewell Loyd is dishing out 1 assist. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 8.3 percent from beyond the arc and 87 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 38.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Fever have lost each of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last five night games following a road loss.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The Fever have won seven of their last eight games following a home win.
• The Fever have covered the spread in five of their last six night games.
• The Aces have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four First Round games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Aces’ last six playoff games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Fever’s last six night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• Jewell Loyd has hit 2+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – equal to the longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Chelsea Gray has recorded 43 games with 3+ assists this season – most of any player in the league.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• The Indiana Fever average 99.0 points per 40 minutes while Makayla Timpson is on the floor this season – the highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
• Sophie Cunningham ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces are the only team to rank in the top three for both points and assists per game this season.
• The Las Vegas Aces have used only five different starting fives this season- the fewest in the league.
• The Indiana Fever rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (38.6%).
• The Indiana Fever rank T1st for field goals made per game this season (33.7).

Fever vs Aces Injury Report

Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue. Aliyah Boston is probable despite a leg issue. Tyasha Harris is out with a leg injury.

NaLyssa Smith is out for the Aces with a leg injury. Dana Evans is out with a knee injury.

Fever vs Aces Prediction

This is likely going to be a physical, chippy game given what happened in game 2. When the Fever play with intensity and choose to defend, they can be good and steal this on the road. We don’t see that effort from the Fever every night, and I’m concerned it may not be there on the road. It’s easy to play bully ball and get feisty with the crowd behind you. That won’t be the case here.

The bottom line is the Aces have been here, done that a million times, and they’re easier to trust in a do-or-die game. I’m just not as big a believer in the Fever as much of the betting public seems to be. The Aces have come through in these spots time and time again over the last decade. I’ll lay the points.