WNBA Picks

Fever vs Aces Prediction 9-29-26 WNBA Picks

Fever vs Aces
September 29, 2026 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Fever -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever meet Tuesday in the WNBA playoffs at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs. Aces Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs. Aces Pick.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look to advance to the second round by securing the sweep. The Aces have won 10 of their last 15 road games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 102 points on 59.4 percent shooting and allowing 85 points on 44.8 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 38 points and 16 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 21 points and 2 rebounds. Chelsea Gray is the third double-digit scorer, and Jewell Loyd is dishing out 0 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 47.4 percent from beyond the arc and 85 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 38.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever need a win to save their season and force a game 3 on Thursday. The Fever have won 7 of their last 9 home games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 85 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 102 points on 59.4 percent shooting. Aliyah Boston is averaging 18 points and 4 assists, while Caitlin Clark is averaging 15 points and 3 rebounds. Raven Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 0 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 92.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 47.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 24 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Fever have won each of their last four night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
  • The Aces have lost three of their last four night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a home win.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in each of their last six Tuesday home games.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a home win.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The Aces have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Fever.
  • The Fever have lost five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Fever.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 night games against Aces teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Aces’ last seven night games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Ten of the Fever’s last 11 home games against the Aces have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • The Indiana Fever averages 99.0 points per 40 minutes while Makayla Timpson is on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
  • Sophie Cunningham ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.9%) this season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • Cheyenne Parker has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in five consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Chelsea Gray has recorded 42 games with 3+ assists this season – most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (38.6%).
  • The Indiana Fever rank T1st for field goals made per game this season (33.7).
  • The Las Vegas Aces have recorded the longest winning streak in the WNBA this season (8 games).
  • The Las Vegas Aces have recorded the longest home winning streak in the WNBA this season (7 games).

Fever vs Aces Injury Report

Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue. Aliyah Boston is probable despite a leg issue. Tyasha Harris is out with a leg injury.

NaLyssa Smith is out for the Aces with a leg injury. Dana Evans is out with a knee injury.

Fever vs Aces Prediction

The Fever are going to get respect because they’re at home, and the public is going to back them because of the Clark effect. However, the Aces are simply the better team with the best player, and Game 1’s victory was so dominant it’s hard not to grab the free bucket. As I said in my Game 1 write-up, the Aces have been here, done that a million times in the playoffs, and players step up. The Fever had massive issues defending, and that’s going to continue with that backcourt that can’t move their feet. A change of venue only does so much. I’ll gladly grab the bucket with the Aces.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Aces +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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