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Fever vs Liberty Prediction 8-11-26 WNBA Picks

Fever vs Liberty
August 11, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Fever -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and Indiana Fever meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 7 of their last 8 games. The Liberty have lost 6 of their last 8 road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 90.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 87 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 21.3 points and 3.1 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 15.7 points and 4 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 85.3 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever look for a win after winning 10 of their last 14 games. The Fever have won 5 of their last 8 home games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 95.9 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 90.4 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 24.2 points and 2.7 assists, while Caitlin Clark is averaging 21.6 points and 3.9 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 1.3 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

  • The Liberty have lost 10 of their last 11 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Fever teams that held a winning record.
  • The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Fever and Liberty.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games following a home win.
  • The Fever have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the Liberty’s last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
  • The Fever have lost 13 of their last 19 games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against the Fever following a home win.
  • The Fever have failed to cover the spread in 19 of their last 22 games as favorites following a road win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Liberty’s last seven road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Fever’s last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

  • Makayla Timpson has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Sophie Cunningham ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.1%) this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
  • Pauline Astier ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (65.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (7.6).
  • The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (22.0).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.1%).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.8).

Fever vs Liberty Injury Report

Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue. Grace VanSlooten is questionable with an illness.

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury.

Fever vs Liberty Prediction

The Liberty as an underdog is always attractive given their pedigree and talent. At their best, the Liberty can beat anybody in the league. However, the Liberty are still down to rotation players, and they’ve played a lot of games close to the vest. The Liberty also have 8 road losses. The Fever are a tough out at home, and they smoked the Liberty last month by 20 points. Give the Liberty credit for winning 4 straight games and are starting to find their footing, but a lot of their recent success has come at home. I need to see it on the road. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Fever at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Fever -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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