Fever vs Mercury
June 22, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Fever -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Indiana Fever meet Monday in WNBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Fever vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Fever vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 12 of their last 16 games. The Mercury have lost 15 of their last 20 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.5 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 85.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 19.1 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 13.8 points and 8.4 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game.
Indiana Fever Betting Preview
The Indiana Fever need a win after losing back-to-back games to the Dream. The Fever have won 6 of their last 7 home games.
The Indiana Fever are averaging 92.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 89.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Caitlin Clark is averaging 21.1 points and 8.1 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 20.8 points and 1.5 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 1.6 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Indiana Fever will win
- The Fever have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Mercury’s last four games.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 night games.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Mercury have won six of their last seven night games following a home win.
- The Fever have lost eight of their last 10 night games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
- The Fever have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Mercury’s last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Fever’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
- Kelsey Mitchell ranks 4th amongst qualified players for points per game (20.8) this season.
- Monique Billings ranks 10th amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for rebounds per game (4.7) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- DeWanna Bonner ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FT% (91.2%) this season.
- Natasha Mack ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FG% (63.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (20.4).
- The Indiana Fever have scored 110+ points in two games this season – most in the WNBA.
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for opponent three-point percentage this season (36.6%).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.6%).
Fever vs Mercury Injury Report
Caitlin Clark is probable for the Fever despite a back issue.
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury. Monique Akoa Makani is out with a hamstring injury.
Fever vs Mercury Prediction
I’ve been fading the Mercury a lot this season as they’re the most disappointing team in the league. However, the talent has always been there, and maybe a 20-point win over Seattle reminds them what they’re capable of. The Fever just don’t play enough defense to trust in the big favorite role, and back-to-back ugly losses to the Dream remind us of that. The Dream are 6-9 ATS in their last 15 games when favorites of 5 or more points. The Fever are 7-9 ATS on the season overall. The Mercury should stay in this game if they play to their potential and are interested. Give me the points.
