Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction 10-8-23 WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in game 1 of the WNBA Finals at the Michelob ULTRA Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

New York Liberty Betting Preview 

The New York Liberty are coming off a 4-game series against the Sun. The Liberty have lost just 3 games since July 30. The New York Liberty are averaging 84.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 80 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 19.8 points and 9 rebounds, while Betnijah Laney is averaging 17 points and 3 assists. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Sabrina Ionescu is dishing 4.2 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 87.4 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview 

The Las Vegas Aces are coming off a sweep of the Wings. The Aces have lost 5 games since July 9. The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 86.2 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 36.8 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 25.8 points and 11.2 rebounds, while Chelsea Gray is averaging 16 points and 4.6 rebounds. Kelsey Plum is the third double-digit scorer and Jackie Young is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 89.1 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.8 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Liberty are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Aces are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. The over is 7-1 in Liberty last 8 overall. The under is 3-1-1 in Aces last 5 overall. The Liberty are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Las Vegas and 7-17 ATS in the last 24 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Las Vegas Aces should be favored for obvious reasons, as they’ve been the best team all year, they’re at home, and they haven’t lost in the playoffs yet. The Aces haven’t lost a game overall since August 28. However, the Liberty have won 2 of the last 3 games against the Aces, and they’re the only team this season that’s given them trouble. You don’t get the Liberty in the underdog role often. I say take advantage while you can, as this should be a hard fought series. I want the points in my pocket.