Liberty vs Dream Prediction 9-21-26 WNBA Picks
Liberty vs Dream
September 21, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty +1.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty meet Monday in WNBA action at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs. Dream Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs. Dream Pick.
Atlanta Dream Betting Preview
The Atlanta Dream look for a win after winning 15 of their last 19 games. The Dream have won 5 straight road games.
The Atlanta Dream are averaging 91.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 85 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Allisha Gray is averaging 19 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Rhyne Howard is averaging 18 points and 3.7 assists. Angel Reese is the third double-digit scorer, and Jordin Canada is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 13 of their last 17 games. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 90.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 86.3 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.5 points and 3.2 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 15.1 points and 4 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Leonie Fiebich is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 84.8 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won each of their last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dream have lost each of their last four road games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Barclays Center against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dream have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
Why the Atlanta Dream will win
- The Dream have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Liberty have lost each of their last three night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 night games following a road win.
- The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Liberty’s last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Dream’s last seven road games following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
- Pauline Astier ranks 8th amongst qualified players for FT% (87.2%) this season.
Atlanta Dream Player Facts
- Rhyne Howard has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in four consecutive appearances- the longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Allisha Gray ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (134) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.8%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.6).
- The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for steals per game this season (9.1).
- The Atlanta Dream rank 14th for blocks per game this season (3.3).
Liberty vs Dream Injury Report
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion.
Brionna Jones is out for the Dream with a leg injury.
Liberty vs Dream Prediction
I understand the Dream are getting the edge because they’re rested and the Liberty played last night. The Dream have also been road warriors lately with 5 straight wins. I get it. However, the Liberty didn’t play their starters much due to the blowout, as no player on the team saw more than 24 minutes. The Liberty beat the Dream in this season’s only meeting and have won 7 of the last 10 games against them overall. Both teams are fighting for playoff seeding, so massive contest for each side. I’m not leaving a bucket on the table with the Liberty at home, especially this time of year when it’s put up or shut up.