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Liberty vs Dream Prediction 9-23-26 WNBA Picks

Liberty vs Dream
September 23, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs. Dream Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs. Dream Pick.

Atlanta Dream Betting Preview

The Atlanta Dream look for a win after winning 16 of their last 20 games. The Dream have won 6 straight road games.


The Atlanta Dream are averaging 91.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 85 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Allisha Gray is averaging 18.9 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Rhyne Howard is averaging 18 points and 3.6 assists. Angel Reese is the third double-digit scorer, and Jordin Canada is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.5 rebounds per game.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 13 of their last 18 games. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 9 home games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 90.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 86.5 points on 45 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.8 points and 3.3 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 14.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Leonie Fiebich is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 84.3 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game.

Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The Liberty have won seven of their last eight games at Barclays Center against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dream have lost four of their last five road games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
  • The Liberty have covered the spread in six of their last seven games at Barclays Center against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Dream will win

  • The Dream have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Liberty have lost three of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Dream have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 night games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Liberty’s last seven games at Barclays Center following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Dream’s last seven games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
  • Pauline Astier ranks 7th amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (64.2%) this season.

Atlanta Dream Player Facts

  • Rhyne Howard has recorded 1+ blocks and 1+ steals in five consecutive appearances- the longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Allisha Gray ranks 1st in the league for fast break points (139) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.9%).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.9).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 1st for steals per game this season (9.0).
  • The Atlanta Dream rank 14th for blocks per game this season (3.3).

Liberty vs Dream Injury Report

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Elizabeth Balogum is not with the team.

Brionna Jones is out for the Dream with a leg injury.

Liberty vs Dream Prediction

This is a rematch of the game on Monday where the Dream were in control for much of it. The Dream have won 6 straight road games, and the Liberty have had issues with consistency. However, if the Liberty are serious about being a contender entering the playoffs, they won’t lose twice at home to the same team in a short span. The Liberty were on the end of a back-to-back in the last meeting. There are no excuses this time. The Liberty are fighting to get out of the eighth seed. Dream and the points feel like oddsmakers are setting the trap. We’re not laying a full bucket. I’ll back the Liberty in a revenge spot.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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