Liberty vs Fire Prediction 5-25-26 WNBA Picks
Liberty vs Fire
May 25, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty -13.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Portland Fire and New York Liberty meet Monday in WNBA action at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs. Fire Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs. Fire Pick.
Portland Fire Betting Preview
The Portland Fire look for their second road win while winning two straight games for the first time in franchise history. The Fire are wrapping up a three-game road trip.
The Portland Fire are averaging 86.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 91 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Bridget Carleton is averaging 16.5 points and 2 assists, while Carla Leite is averaging 15 points and 2.8 rebounds. Sug Sutton is the third double-digit scorer, and Sarah Ashlee Barker is dishing out 1.7 assists. The Portland Fire are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Portland Fire are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 28 rebounds per game.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty need a win after losing 3 of their last 4 games. The Liberty has won 4 of their last 6 regular season home games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 91 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 87.7 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.7 points and 2.7 assists, while Pauline Astier is averaging 13.5 points and 3.3 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 3 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 84.3 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.2 rebounds per game.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won 12 of their last 13 home games after losing as favorites.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in four of their last five night games at Barclays Center following a home loss.
- The Fire have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games.
Why the Portland Fire will win
- The Liberty have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have won three of the Liberty’s last four games.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Liberty’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Liberty’s last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Marine Johannes is the only player in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.
- Sabrina Ionescu has recorded 1+ assists in 210 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Portland Fire Player Facts
- Bridget Carleton has hit 2+ three-pointers in six consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Emily Engstler is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 3+ blocks in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for assists per game this season (23.5).
- The New York Liberty rank 14th for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.2).
- The Portland Fire rank 14th for opponent points per game this season (91.0).
- The Portland Fire rank 14th for rebounds per game this season (28.0).
Liberty vs Fire Injury Report
The Liberty will be without Marine Fauthoux due to a knee injury. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton is out due to personal reasons.
Karlie Samuelson is questionable for the Fire due to a foot injury. Teja Oblak is questionable with a quad injury. Nyadiew Puoch is questionable with an ankle injury.
Liberty vs Fire Prediction
On paper the Liberty should win this game comfortably and oddsmakers clearly agree. The problem is the Liberty have looked bad lately, losing three of their last four games, and they’re on the end of a back to back. We have to remember that the Liberty are still working through roster adjustments due to injuries and there’s a new coaching staff in place. A sluggish start probably isn’t that surprising. The Fire not only have the rest advantage, but this will also be the third meeting this season between these teams. There should be some familiarity here and that should lead to a competitive effort. I’ll take a stab with the Fire and the points.