Liberty vs Lynx
July 3, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty +2.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty meet Friday in WNBA action at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs Lynx Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs Lynx Pick.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Minnesota Lynx look for a statement after winning 10 of their last 12 games. The Minnesota Lynx have won 8 of their last 9 road games.
The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 90.5 points on 48.8 percent shooting and allowing 79.3 points on 39.4 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 18.7 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Natasha Howard is averaging 17.7 points and 8.2 rebounds. Courtney Williams is the third double-digit scorer, and Kayla McBride is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty need a win after losing 4 of their last 6 games. The Liberty has won 6 of its last 7 home games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 87.8 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 83.5 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 19.2 points and 2.8 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 15.2 points and 8.7 rebounds. Satou Sabally is the third double-digit scorer, and Pauline Astier is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 84.6 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Liberty have won each of their last 10 games at Barclays Center following a road loss.
- The Lynx have lost three of their last four road games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last four night games following a road loss.
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
- The Lynx have won 12 of their last 13 night games.
- The Liberty have lost four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Lynx have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Thirteen of the Liberty’s last 14 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Lynx’s last four games at Barclays Center has gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Breanna Stewart is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in blocks per game (1.3) and free-throw percentage (86.0%) this season.
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.9) this season.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
- Natasha Howard has recorded 2+ steals in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Olivia Miles ranks 2nd in the league for plus-minus (+201) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (84.6%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (70.4%).
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.4%).
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (37.2%).
Liberty vs Lynx Injury Report
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion.
Napheesa Collier is out for the Lynx due to an ankle injury. Emma Cechova is out with a knee injury. Dorka Juhasz is questionable with a foot injury.
Liberty vs Lynx Prediction
I’ve been riding the Lynx train all season, and they’re hard to bet against when they’re 13-4 ATS. There’s also a chance Juhasz returns, which only adds to their depth. This could also be a letdown spot for the Liberty after winning the Commissioner’s Cup. Still, I’m not turning down a free bucket with the Liberty, especially at home. The Liberty haven’t been a home underdog since 2024, and they’re 2-1 SU as an underdog this season. Yes, Sabally is still injured, but the Liberty are still arguably the most talented team in the W. I’m grabbing the free bucket.
