Liberty vs Sky Prediction 7-22-26 WNBA Picks
Liberty vs Sky
July 22, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Liberty -8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Sky and New York Liberty meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the Barclays Center. Here’s a Liberty vs Sky Prediction. This article will include a Liberty vs Sky Pick.
Chicago Sky Betting Preview
The Chicago Sky need a win after losing 17 of their last 23 games. The Sky have lost 7 of their last 8 road games.
The Chicago Sky are averaging 87.3 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 89.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Kamilla Cardoso is averaging 14.2 points and 8.5 rebounds, while Skylar Diggins is averaging 14.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Sydney Taylor is the third double-digit scorer, and Azura Stevens is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Chicago Sky are shooting 31.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 30.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty need a win after losing 8 of their last 12 games. The Liberty have won 6 of their last 8 home games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 88.3 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 85.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 21.1 points and 3 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.8 points and 9.2 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 84.5 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Sky have lost 21 of their last 22 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Liberty have won 15 of their last 17 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Chicago Sky will win
- The Liberty have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following an overtime win.
- The underdogs have won eight of the Liberty’s last 11 games.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Sky have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Liberty’s last 10 games at Barclays Center following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Sky’s last eight night games against the Liberty following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Pauline Astier has recorded eight games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.9) this season.
Chicago Sky Player Facts
- Natasha Cloud is one of only six players in the league to have recorded 9+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
- Azura Stevens ranks 4th amongst qualified Centers for FT% (77.8%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (73.1%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.5).
- The Chicago Sky have recorded the largest comeback win after Q1 this season – trailed by 14 points vs Connecticut Sun on June 5.
- The Chicago Sky have suffered the largest comeback loss after Q3 this season – led by -14 points @ Dallas Wings on June 20.
Liberty vs Sky Injury Report
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury. Marine Johannes is questionable with an ankle injury.
The Sky will be without DiJonai Carrington due to a foot injury. Rickea Jackson is out with a knee injury. Skylar Diggins is out with a knee injury.
Liberty vs Sky Prediction
The Liberty keep getting treated like they’re a worldbeater, and while there’s talent on this roster, the losses and failed covers are doing a number on the pockets. I’m just not impressed with what I’m seeing from the Liberty, and they should’ve lost to the Wings without Paige. Since June 17, the Liberty are 1-8 ATS as a favorite, and they’ve outright lost 4 of their last 5 games when favorites of 5 or more points. The Sky took the Liberty down to the wire last month and play this up-tempo style that this older New York roster struggles against. The Liberty don’t want to run up and down the floor. Give me the points.