Lynx vs Liberty
July 11, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Lynx -4.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Lynx vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Lynx vs Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty need a win after losing 5 of their last 8 games. The Liberty has lost 3 of its last 4 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 87.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 83.8 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 20.5 points and 2.8 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 15.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 85.3 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Minnesota Lynx look for a win after winning 10 of their last 14 games. The Minnesota Lynx have lost their last 2 home games.
The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 90 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 80.7 points on 40.7 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 18.5 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Natasha Howard is averaging 17 points and 8 rebounds. Courtney Williams is the third double-digit scorer, and Kayla McBride is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 31.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
- The Liberty have lost eight of their last nine games at Target Center against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
- The Lynx have won 18 of their last 19 Saturday games as favorites.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last seven Saturday home games.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The road team has won seven of the Lynx’s last eight games.
- The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Liberty’s last 10 games at Target Center following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Lynx’s last five games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
- Kayla McBride has recorded five games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Natasha Howard ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (294) this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.0) this season.
- Marine Johannes is one of only three players in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (37.0%).
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 14th for free throws made per game this season (14.0).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (85.3%).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (71.8%).
Lynx vs Liberty Injury Report
Napheesa Collier is out for the Lynx due to an ankle injury. Emma Cechova is out with a knee injury.
Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with foot soreness. Pauline Astier is questionable with an ankle injury. Rebecca Allen is questionable with a nose injury.
Lynx vs Liberty Prediction
The Liberty in the underdog role is appealing because they’re arguably the most talented team in the league. The problem is the Liberty aren’t at full strength, as they could be down four rotation players. Meanwhile, the Lynx are going to get back Olivia Miles, which is a massive swing between the two teams reports. This is also a revenge spot for the Lynx after losing to the Liberty on the road last week. If the Liberty were healthier, I’d gladly grab the buckets, but that’s a lengthy report with key names listed. Give me the Lynx.
