Lynx vs Mercury
July 13, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Lynx -12.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx meet Monday in WNBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Lynx vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Lynx vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Mercury have lost 19 of their last 27 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.6 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 86.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.3 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.2 points and 7.9 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
The Minnesota Lynx look for a win after winning 11 of their last 15 games. The Minnesota Lynx have won 7 of their last 9 home games.
The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 90 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 80.9 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 18.7 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Natasha Howard is averaging 16.9 points and 8.1 rebounds. Kayla McBride is the third double-digit scorer, and Courtney Williams is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
- The Lynx have won each of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost 11 of their last 12 games at Target Center.
- The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Lynx’s last five night games at Target Center has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Mercury’s last four road games against the Lynx following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
- Kayla McBride has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Natasha Howard ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (300) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Kahleah Copper is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 25+ points and 5+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
- Valerianne Ayayi is one of only 10 players to have scored 20+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.8%).
- The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (37.7%).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for points in the paint per game (34.2) this season.
- The Phoenix Mercury rank T13th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.5).
Lynx vs Mercury Injury Report
Napheesa Collier is out for the Lynx due to an ankle injury. Emma Cechova is out with a knee injury.
The Mercury will be without Natasha Mack due to a foot injury. Sami Whitcomb is probable despite a knee issue.
Lynx vs Mercury Prediction
The Lynx aren’t covering numbers the way they did earlier in the season, but I have no choice but to lay the chalk. The Mercury are awful, and just hit a new low with a 56-106 loss to the Aces. When the Mercury and Lynx met back in June, Minnesota won 111-77. The Lynx have covered 10 of their last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. It often feels like the Mercury have checked out, and this game will tell if that’s true. If the Mercury can’t get up for this one after their last showing, there’s no hope. Regardless, I’m still laying the chalk with the Lynx.
