WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Aces Prediction 6-17-26 WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Aces
June 17, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Aces Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Aces Pick.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Aces look for a win after winning 10 of their last 13 games. The Aces have won 3 of their last 4 road games.

The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 90.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 87.3 points on 43.1 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 25.6 points and 9 rebounds, while Jackie Young is averaging 14.7 points and 4.8 rebounds. Chennedy Carter is the third double-digit scorer, and Chelsea Gray is dishing out 7 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 11 of their last 14 games. The Mercury have lost 14 of their last 18 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.2 points on 42.2 percent shooting and allowing 86.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 18.8 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.5 points and 8.1 assists. Monique Akoa Makani is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Mercury and Aces at Mortgage Matchup Center.
  • The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
  • The Aces have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as favorites.

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

  • The Aces have won each of their last 10 road games against the Mercury.
  • The Mercury have lost each of their last seven games at Mortgage Matchup Center against Aces teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Mortgage Matchup Center against Aces teams that held a winning record.
  • The Aces have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mercury’s last 10 games at Mortgage Matchup Center has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Aces’ last four night games at Mortgage Matchup Center has gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

  • Kahleah Copper has made 2+ free throws in 13 consecutive appearances – equal to the longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Natasha Mack ranks 1st amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (70.8%) this season.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

  • Chelsea Gray is the only player in the league to have made 6+ threes in consecutive games this season.
  • Jackie Young ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FT% (92.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phoenix Mercury have suffered the equal-largest comeback loss after Q3 this season – led by -8 points @ Atlanta Dream on May 24.
  • The Phoenix Mercury have scored less than 80 points in six road games this season – most in the WNBA.
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
  • The Las Vegas Aces rank 14th for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (9.5).

Mercury vs Aces Injury Report

The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury.

The Aces will be without Dana Evans due to a leg injury. Chennedy Carter is out with an illness. Janiah Barker is questionable with a leg injury. Jewell Loyd is questionable with an illness.

Mercury vs Aces Prediction

All of a sudden, the Aces have a lengthy injury report, and that’s not ideal when on the road. However, the Mercury have been the most disappointing team in the league and not a side I’m interested in, honestly. The Mercury are also just 5-10 ATS, so there’s no value with this group.

Also, the Aces are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Wings, where Becky Hammon was visibly upset on the bench, and the team took a while to come out of the locker room for interviews. This should be a pissed-off, motivated team eager to get a nasty take out of its mouth. This could get ugly for a Mercury side that’s already in awful form. I’ll lay the points.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Aces -6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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