Mercury vs Fever Prediction 7-9-26 WNBA Picks

The Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury meet Thursday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Fever Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Fever Pick.

Indiana Fever Betting Preview

The Indiana Fever need a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Fever have lost 5 of their last 8 road games.

The Indiana Fever are averaging 93.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 89.7 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 22.2 points and 2.7 assists, while Caitlin Clark is averaging 20.5 points and 4 rebounds. Aliyah Boston is the third double-digit scorer, and Sophie Cunningham is dishing out 1.4 assists. The Indiana Fever are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Fever are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 4 of their last 6 games. The Mercury have lost 17 of their last 25 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.4 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 85.5 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.2 points and 8.3 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Fever have lost each of their last eight night games at the Mortgage Matchup Center following a road loss.
• The Mercury have won seven of their last eight night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Fever have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Indiana Fever will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Mercury’s last four games.
• The Mercury have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after losing as favorites.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Fever have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Mercury following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mercury’s last nine games as favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Fever’s last five games at the Mortgage Matchup Center has gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Valerianne Ayayi is one of only 10 players to have scored 20+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• Lexi Held is one of only 33 players to have scored 16+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Indiana Fever Player Facts

• Tyasha Harris ranks 7th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (2.8) this season.
• Monique Billings ranks 16th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (9.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.9).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 2nd for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.2).
• The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (20.5).
• The Indiana Fever are the only team to rank in the top three for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.

Mercury vs Fever Injury Report

The Mercury will be without Natasha Mack due to a foot injury. Sami Whitcomb is probable despite a knee issue.

There were previous reports that Caitlin Clark won’t play in this game. At the time of this writing, the Fever hadn’t submitted their injury report.

Mercury vs Fever Prediction

The Fever played last night, so this is a tough spot, as you don’t get back-to-backs often in this league. The Fever are also now 4-5 SU on the road. The Mercury has played their best ball over the last week and has put itself back in the playoff conversation. We’re also expected to see Whitcomb make her season debut, which is a massive boost to the lineup. Also, while Clark isn’t going to play for the Fever, you know there will be some extra juice in the building considering the kerfuffle between these teams previously. With home court, the rest advantage, and getting healthier, the Mercury should win this game. I’ll lay the bucket.