Mercury vs Liberty Prediction 8-1-26 WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury meet Saturday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty need a win after losing 7 of their last 11 games. The Liberty have lost 5 of their last 7 road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 89.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 87.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 21.5 points and 3.1 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 15.5 points and 3.9 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Satou Sabally is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 84.9 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look to build on their 3-game winning streak. The Mercury have lost 21 of their last 32 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.2 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 86.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.7 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.8 points and 8.3 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Mercury have won each of their last four games as home underdogs after winning as underdogs.
• The Liberty have lost six of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five home games after winning as underdogs.

Why the New York Liberty will win

• The Mercury have lost each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Liberty have won each of their last four games against the Mercury following a road loss.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Liberty’s last five games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Liberty’s last six road games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Mercury’s last nine day games at Mortgage Matchup Center following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Kahleah Copper is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 25+ points and 5+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
• Natasha Mack is one of only four players to have made 7+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

• Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.8) this season.
• Pauline Astier ranks 1st amongst qualified rookies for FT% (87.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury rank 2nd for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (7.7).
• The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.2%).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.8%).
• The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.8).

Mercury vs Liberty Injury Report

The Mercury don’t have any names listed on their injury report.

Satou Sabally is out for the Liberty with a concussion. Leonie Fiebich is out with a foot injury.

Mercury vs Liberty Prediction

This is a tough game as the Liberty are still missing key players, and every game with them comes down to the wire lately, where they’ve been on the wrong side a lot. The Mercury were always talented, but they’ve been horrible dating back to the end of the last regular season. Now all of a sudden the Mercury want to win games, and their recent win over Golden State should turn heads. Are the Mercury back? I guess we’ll have more evidence here, but I still lean Liberty given the larger body of work. I’m not buying the Mercury after three games. We’re laying a bucket with the Liberty. I’ll take it.