Mercury vs Lynx Prediction 5-12-26 WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs. Lynx Pick.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

The Minnesota Lynx need a win after losing their season opener to the Dream. The Minnesota Lynx haven’t started 0-2 since the 2023 season.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 90 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 91 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Olivia Miles is averaging 21 points and 3 rebounds, while Kayla McBride is averaging 20 points and 2 rebounds. Courtney Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Emma Cechova is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 27.8 percent from beyond the arc and 68.2 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 24.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 25 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look to get above a .500 record in their home season opener. The Mercury have lost 4 of their last 5 regular season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 89 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 80.5 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 19.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Jovana Nogic is averaging 17.5 points and 2.5 assists. Kahleah Copper is the third double-digit scorer and Natasha Mack is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 47.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Lynx have lost each of their last four games.
• The home team has won six of the last seven games between the Mercury and Lynx.
• The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Lynx’s last nine games.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

• The Lynx have won nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Mercury.
• The Mercury have lost four of their last five home openers as favorites.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Lynx teams that held a losing record.
• The Lynx have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Mercury.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Mercury’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Lynx’s last four games has gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranked 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) last season.
• Natasha Mack ranked 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.0) last season.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

• Courtney Williams recorded 2+ steals in five consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Kayla McBride ranked 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.6) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phoenix Mercury have allowed fewer than 100 points in each of their last 31 games—the team’s longest streak since 2021.
• The Phoenix Mercury ranked 1st for bench points per game (25.5) last season.
• The Minnesota Lynx ranked 1st for points per game last season (86.1).
• The Minnesota Lynx ranked 1st for point differential per game last season (+9.4).

Mercury vs Lynx Injury Report

The Mercury will be without Valeriane Ayayi, Monique Akoa Makani, and Sami Whitcomb.

The Lynx will be without Napheesa Collier and Dorka Juhasz.

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

The Lynx and free points are always attractive given their pedigree and the fact you don’t see them often as underdogs. However, the Collier injury does make the Lynx less desirable and their defensive effort in their season opener wasn’t great. The Mercury held their own in two road games and now come back home where they’re most comfortable. The Mercury have also had success against the Lynx on tougher terms, winning the last three meetings. We’re not being asked to lay much. Give me the Mercury due to home court and the health advantage.